ESPN's FPI odds are already forecasting Penn State to be one of the top two contenders for the Big Ten championship and easily on the radar for a shot at a national title. But if we dig just a little deeper, how much confidence do ESPN's metrics have in Penn State on a week-by-week basis?

The start of the 2025 college football season brings new excitement and plenty of talk about which programs are best positioned for a title run. ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI), a computer-powered forecast of team strength, has released its latest rankings heading into Week 1.

ESPN's FPI gives Virginia a 75.7% chance to win (1-0, 0-0 ACC) The Hoos handled the Chanticleers 43-24 a year ago. With a new offensive and defensive coordinator for the team from Conway could also experience growing pains out of the gate,